Artificial Intelligence framework for prediction of Infection severity

By
Infectious disease forecasting aims to predict characteristics of both seasonal pandemics and future pandemics. Accurate and timely infectious disease forecasts could aid public health responses by informing key preparation and mitigation efforts. 
The predictive model learns from historical data to help predict who will develop acute respiratory distress syndrome,a severe outcome of Covid-19.

Despite the advances in medicine, infectious diseases are leading causes of death worldwide,
especially in low income countries. With the advent of mathematical tools, scientists are now able 
to better predict epidemics, understand the specificity of each pathogen, and identify potential targets for drug development. Artificial intelligence and its components have been widely publicized for 
their ability to better diagnose certain types of cancer from imaging data. It is to cover series of applications selectively chosen as to how Artificial intelligence is moving in the field of infectious disease further.

Artificial intelligence and machine learning can assist with infectious disease prevention, 
management and surveillance. With the capability to analyze huge amounts of Data, including 
medical information, human behavior patterns, and environmental conditions big data tools can be invaluable in dealing with deadly outbreaks.          
 
The first AI supported entity to sound the alarm about the novel Coronavirus was  Blue Dot, a 
Canadian health monitoring platform. It uses algorithms to conduct automated infectious disease surveillance, predict the emergence and spread of diseases, and give advance warnings about danger zones. The Blue Dot platform uses natural language processing and machine learning to analyze 
around one lakh new stories, animal and plant disease reports in 65 languages every day, working around the clock. After AI conducts the data sifting, epidemiologists check the conclusions before sending out reports to government agencies, businesses and public health experts.           

Once scientists detect new diseases, next step is to figure out whee they are heading next. AI can 
assist in that phase too. For instance, analysis of Airline ticketing Data and flight paths accurately predicted that Covid 19 would jump from Wuhan to Bangkok, Seoul, Taipei and Tokyo. Other 
example that help the Doctors detect the spread of a disease as new patients enter the hospital and 
rapid diagnoses, aided by machine learning that enable effective isolation and quarantine efforts. 

Once AI predicts where a disease will travel next, officials can set up travel check points and call 
for a ramp-up of hospital resources in the right places. A combination of AI with simulation models 
can assess the effectiveness of various policy responses. Additionally, AI algorithms can determine what populations would best benefit from public health communications to prevent and slow disease.

Over the past couple of decades, 75% of infectious diseases have been Zoonotic, i.e. capable of spreading from animals to humans. By the time, Scientists identified host species, the disease had already leaped to humans, leaving mitigation as the only response. AI is now used to identify the ecological and epidemiological patterns that lead up to epidemics to predict outbreaks before they happen. Mathematical models and machine learning can analyze huge amounts of Data to get clues about the next likely source of infection.       

The expanded use of AI and machine learning has enabled to prevent or better manage outbreaks 
of infectious diseases resulting in reduced harm and disruption. As such, AI can keep an eye on 
other possible outbreaks around the world, so we will be prepared to respond, if needed.    

                                                             ------------------------
   

    


  



      







                 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Qualities Of A Good Prime Minister

By
Following are ten qualities (not in order of importance), which I believe are the most important for a Prime Minister and why ? - 1) Ability to connect with constituents - All great leaders in history had a penchant for being able to connect with their citizens i.e. a strong or habitual liking for something or tendency to do something. Leaders who have failed have probably failed in this domain. 2) Clarity of vision - The Prime Minister who knows their vision and can successfully articulate it to the voting public is one who will be held in high regard. 3) Coherent grasp of domestic issues - There has to be a keen desire and understanding of domestic concerns that directly impact the citizens. Failure to understand and address these issues will create a gap between what the Leader does and how it impacts their citizens. 4) Clear understanding of different cultures in their Governance - All good leaders will be able to understand the Political culture, Ethical/ Racial cultures, Cl...
Read more

IMF suggestions for India Growth Rate

By
India's growth accelerated to 7.7.% in 4th quarter of 2017-18 (F.Y.) which was up from 7% in the previous quarter. In order to sustain the high growth rate, following three steps are suggested for India by IMF ( International Monetary Fund) to follow :- 1) To revive a Bank credit and enhance the credit provision by accelerating clean up of Bank and     Corporate Balance sheets & enhancing the growth of Public Sector Banks. 2) To continue fiscal consolidation and to lower elevated public Debt levels by simplifying &     streamlining the Goods and Service Tax (GST ) structure. 3) To renew impetus to reforms of key markets over the medium term, for example, Labor and     Land as well as improving the business climate to improving competitiveness and maintaining     the level of growth in India.  India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is poised to grow by 7.3.% in 2018-19 and 7.5% in 2019-20  on strengthening of Investment ...
Read more

Working Of Nuclear Plant and Generation Of Energy

By
Nuclear energy originates from splitting of Uranium atoms- a process called fission. This generates heat to produce steam, which is used by Turbine generator to generate electricity, because Nuclear power plants do not burn fuel, they do not produce greenhouse gas emissions. It is the safe, clean, cost effective alternative contrary to claims by opponents of nuclear energy. Nuclear power reactors use controlled nuclear fission in a chain reaction. With the use of neutron absorbers, the rate of reaction controlled, so the power depends on demand. By reliably providing power 24 hours a day, Nuclear energy is an important part of the energy mix necessary to meet electricity demand. And, with no carbon emissions, it will remain an important clean energy resource for the future. For more than forty years, Duke Energy, USA has operated nuclear plants- setting industry benchmarks for safety and efficiency in the process. Working of a Nuclear Plant - A Nuclear power plant works much like a...
Read more

Artificial Intelligence on Business Forecasting

By
The business world today is driven by customer demand. Unfortunately, the demand patterns vary considerably from time to time. That is why it can be so challenging to develop accurate forecasts. The goals of forecasting are to reduce uncertainty & provide benchmarks for monitoring actual performance. A new generation of Artificial Intelligence technologies have emerged that hold significant commitment on improving forecasting process including applications as product demand, employee turnover, cash flow, distribution requirements, manpower forecasting & inventory. Artificial Intelligence systems are designed to bridge the gap between the two traditional forecasting approaches - Managerial and Quantitative. Artificial Intelligence is defined as a Computer Based analytical process exhibiting actions and behavior considered ' Intelligent' by human observers. A.I. attempts to mimic human thought process including reasoning and optimization. One purpose of A.I. is...
Read more

FDI - Foreign Direct Investment- Types And Essentials

By
FDI started in India in 1991 in wake of economic crisis and since then it has steadily increased. It is an investment made by an individual or firm in one country into business interest located in another country. Besides being a critical driver of economic growth, FDI is a major source of Non-Debt financial resource for the Economic Development of India. Foreign companies invest in India to take advantage of relatively lower wages, special investment privileges (Tax exemptions) etc for a country where foreign investments are being made. It also means achieving technical know-how and generating employment. The India Govt's favorable policy regime and robust business environment have ensured that foreign capital keeps flowing into the country to improve in view of ease of doing business and relaxation in FDI norms is yielding results. FDI equity inflows in India was US $44.37 billion in 2018-19 mainly on account of Service Sector, Computer hardware and software, Trading, Telecomm...
Read more

Satellite Prediction Of Floods In India

By
Floods are one of the most devastating and costly national disasters each year affecting on an average 96.9 million people worldwide and causing $13.7 Billion in damages according to U.N. Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. They wash away or destroy Homes, Pollute Drinking Water and a source to giving birth to water borne diseases. The Indian sub-continent is one of the most affected due to chronic flood events mostly induced by periodic monsoon rainfall. The North - Eastern state of Assam has a complex fluvial systems of rivers, mainly with two inter connected rivers of Brahmaputra and Barak which together enter Bay of Bengal. Due to enormous sediment transport from the upper catchment areas and subsequent lack of carrying capacity of the channels in these two river valleys, flooding is a periodic phenomenon every year during the peak monsoon months from June to Sept. causing extensive damages to life and property. Satellite plays important role in detection and monitoring of flo...
Read more

Tools To Measure Economic Progress Of A Country

By
Economic growth is the increase in the Inflation- adjusted market value of Goods and Services produced by an economy over time. It is conventionally measured as the percentage of increase in Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Economic reports and indicators provide measurements for evaluating health of our economy, latest business cycles and how customers are spending and generally faring. Given below are Nine points common and vital economic indicators for experts to judge and draw opinions from: 1) M2 (Money Supply) - Does not include Institutional Money Fund Assets, large denominated Time Deposits or Special Reserves Banks required to make. Data released by Reserve Federal System is used to assess current economic and financial conditions and to help alter its Monetary Policy which includes raising and lower interest rates. 2) Real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) -  Real GDP is a comprehensive way to gauge the health and well-being of an economy.It is the market value of all go...
Read more

US Dollar - Effects in the modern economy

By
U.S. dollar is strongest currency which supports U.S. economy. The reason is that more than one -third countries of the world's gross domestic product comes from countries that peg their currencies to dollars. A strong economy will attract investment from all over the world due to perceived safety and ability to achieve return on investment. Since investors seek higher yield on investment particularly from abroad, creates a strong capital account and high demand for dollars. Economic losses of World War have resulted into destruction of capital, trade, human suffering, spread of diseases, displacement of people and destruction of environment among others. Bretton Woods system In the post war scenario, need was felt to have a system to control value of money between different countries. It means that each country had to have a monetary policy that kept exchange rate of its currency within a fixed value - plus or minus one percent - in terms of Gold.This system was agreed upon ...
Read more

Economy of UAE

By
UAE consists of seven Emirates founded and declared their independence from Britain on 2nd December, 1971 as a federation. Six of the emirates, i.e. Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Sharjah, Ajman, Fujairah & Umm Al Quwain combined on that date. Ras Al Khaimah joined on 10th February, 1972. The total population of seven emirates is 8.3 million ( 38% live in Abu Dhabi, 30% in Dubai, rest in other  areas of Emirates). UAE has never been a British colony but have come under British protection. For centuries, region was involved in rival ties between local Emirs on Land and Pirates on sea. Britain began attacking pirates to protect its trade with India. This led to ties with the Heads of the areas which continued  till 1971 when agreement was terminated. It was due to Britain's imperial overreach exhausted politically and bankrupt financially, Britain decided to abandon thee states. UAE became member of Arab league and member of United Nations in 1971.The country is also a member of OPE...
Read more

Peace Of Mind

By
Peace of mind refers to state of mentally being healthy and spiritually at peace with enough knowledge and understanding to keep oneself strong in the face of Discord and Stress. Being at  Peace is considered by many to be healthy and the opposite of being stressed or anxious. Finding inner peace is more about being the doing. It is about learning towards rather than struggling against. Peace is a daily, a weekly, a monthly process gradually changing opinions slowly eroding old barriers, quietly building new structures. It isn't enough to talk about peace. One must believe in it and it is not enough to believe in it, one must work at it. Nobody can bring you peace but yourself. Peace is its own reward. Never be in a hurry, do everything quietly and in a calm spirit. Do not lose your inner peace for anything whatsoever, even if your whole world seems upset. If you cannot find peace within yourself, you will never find it elsewhere. Following are eleven points to find peace of m...
Read more